Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.423515 0.499206 0.582656 0.681229 0.794212 0.919387 1.068279
2024-10-06 0.329328 0.434720 0.562495 0.727632 0.934087 1.182261 1.501585
2024-10-13 0.247284 0.361315 0.511683 0.721742 1.004383 1.367881 1.866426
2024-10-20 0.190861 0.305650 0.468789 0.712720 1.062271 1.538135 2.226269
2024-10-27 0.151565 0.263944 0.434834 0.706254 1.117177 1.704632 2.593168
2024-11-03 0.127062 0.238650 0.418891 0.720744 1.200013 1.914411 3.036736
2024-11-10 0.106856 0.215612 0.401508 0.728483 1.270696 2.109984 3.474013
2024-11-17 0.090112 0.194781 0.383580 0.731297 1.331604 2.293527 3.905838
2024-11-24 0.077840 0.179495 0.372275 0.742666 1.405970 2.502474 4.391715
2024-12-01 0.066732 0.164018 0.357765 0.745546 1.464735 2.689251 4.854464
2024-12-08 0.054544 0.143476 0.329951 0.719402 1.468224 2.782229 5.167577
2024-12-15 0.049244 0.137034 0.329081 0.744285 1.566158 3.043521 5.781980
2024-12-22 0.043948 0.129688 0.325638 0.764550 1.659341 3.307297 6.426496
2024-12-29 0.041246 0.128212 0.334761 0.811896 1.809699 3.686053 7.301499
2025-01-05 0.035158 0.116463 0.318779 0.803763 1.849200 3.864160 7.829043
2025-01-12 0.029893 0.105562 0.302798 0.793167 1.881983 4.031288 8.347005
2025-01-19 0.025623 0.096346 0.289195 0.785782 1.920003 4.210193 8.897367
2025-01-26 0.023007 0.091476 0.285751 0.801582 2.008953 4.494831 9.666352
2025-02-02 0.020418 0.085972 0.279649 0.810031 2.082261 4.752988 10.399773
2025-02-09 0.017971 0.080229 0.271846 0.813100 2.143470 4.990387 11.106526
2025-02-16 0.016138 0.076127 0.267952 0.825573 2.227273 5.279985 11.934278
2025-02-23 0.014256 0.071254 0.260897 0.828731 2.289276 5.527565 12.691245
2025-03-02 0.011825 0.063345 0.243018 0.800026 2.271625 5.602795 13.098444